Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.037991 0.041016 0.044190 0.047775 0.051717 0.055927 0.060769
2025-04-27 0.033525 0.037858 0.042660 0.048397 0.055091 0.062689 0.072011
2025-05-04 0.030060 0.035091 0.040895 0.048130 0.056969 0.067493 0.081088
2025-05-11 0.027537 0.033010 0.039533 0.047950 0.058630 0.071868 0.089738
2025-05-18 0.025491 0.031243 0.038288 0.047652 0.059927 0.075683 0.097796
2025-05-25 0.023883 0.029847 0.037328 0.047537 0.061315 0.079573 0.106126
2025-06-01 0.022275 0.028308 0.036036 0.046824 0.061763 0.082127 0.112710
2025-06-08 0.020797 0.026825 0.034689 0.045897 0.061781 0.083997 0.118361
2025-06-15 0.019660 0.025715 0.033753 0.045432 0.062357 0.086622 0.125250
2025-06-22 0.018661 0.024724 0.032904 0.045008 0.062918 0.089206 0.132218
2025-06-29 0.017614 0.023605 0.031805 0.044138 0.062732 0.090611 0.137389
2025-07-06 0.017096 0.023193 0.031669 0.044642 0.064606 0.095247 0.148110
2025-07-13 0.016444 0.022563 0.031194 0.044623 0.065690 0.098749 0.157323
2025-07-20 0.016005 0.022217 0.031108 0.045178 0.067695 0.103854 0.169740
2025-07-27 0.015379 0.021564 0.030530 0.044929 0.068382 0.106821 0.178637
2025-08-03 0.014821 0.020984 0.030028 0.044762 0.069174 0.109996 0.188171
2025-08-10 0.014276 0.020396 0.029483 0.044488 0.069755 0.112823 0.197292
2025-08-17 0.013809 0.019906 0.029061 0.044382 0.070600 0.116151 0.207660
2025-08-24 0.013243 0.019238 0.028330 0.043725 0.070445 0.117662 0.214568
2025-08-31 0.012667 0.018532 0.027508 0.042871 0.069887 0.118382 0.219921
2025-09-07 0.012221 0.018011 0.026958 0.042443 0.070051 0.120439 0.228209
2025-09-14 0.011809 0.017528 0.026446 0.042053 0.070253 0.122567 0.236832
2025-09-21 0.011333 0.016926 0.025718 0.041251 0.069648 0.123089 0.242008